⚡ AI
2-1 · Southampton 42%
· BTTS Yes 68%
58
MATCH HIGHLIGHTS
4 Clips
WE'RE GOING TO WEMBLEY 🤩 | Southampton 2-1 Middlesbrough | Play-off semi-final 2nd leg
YouTube ↗
Championship: Southampton vs Middlesbrough
youtube · Middlesbrough FC
Championship: Southampton vs Middlesbrough
youtube · Southampton FC
Championship: Southampton vs Middlesbrough
youtube · EFL
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ Southampton
LAST 30 MIN
▲ Middlesbroug...
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
20
SHOTS
19
7
ON TARGET
3
122
POSSESSION %
97
11
CORNERS
5
15
FOULS
19
4
YELLOW CARDS
4
589
PASSES
405
⚡ KEY EVENTS
5'
⚽
Riley McGree
0-1
13'
🟨
Riley McGree
Foul
37'
🟨
Nathan Wood
Argument
38'
🟨
Luke Ayling
Foul
45'+1
⚽
Ross Stewart
1-1
56'
🟨
Finn Azaz
Foul
66'
🔄
Flynn Downes
73'
🔄
Alan Browne
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Ryan Manning
8.6
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Southampton
8.6
Ryan Manning
8.3
Shea Charles
7.3
Caspar Jander
Middlesbrough
Adilson Malanda
7.7
Aidan Morris
7.3
Riley McGree
7.2
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
3
Millwall
46
83
Millwall
46
83
4
Southampton
46
80
Southampton
46
80
5
Middlesbrough
46
80
Middlesbrough
46
80
6
Hull City
46
73
Hull City
46
73
💬 COMMENTARY
120'
CARD · Foul
8th Yellowcard
120'
CARD · Time wasting
7th Yellowcard
119'
SUBST
8th Substitution
119'
SUBST
7th Substitution
119'
SUBST
9th Substitution
116'
GOAL · 2-1
3rd Goal
106'
SUBST
6th Substitution
92'
CARD · Foul
6th Yellowcard
85'
SUBST
5th Substitution
84'
SUBST
4th Substitution
83'
SUBST
3rd Substitution
78'
CARD · Foul
5th Yellowcard
5'
⚽
Riley McGree
0-1
13'
🟨
Riley McGree
Foul
37'
🟨
Nathan Wood
Argument
38'
🟨
Luke Ayling
Foul
45'+1
⚽
Ross Stewart
1-1
56'
🟨
Finn Azaz
Foul
66'
🔄
Flynn Downes
73'
🔄
Alan Browne
78'
🟨
Adilson Malanda
Foul
83'
🔄
Leo Castledine
84'
🔄
Cyle Larin
85'
🔄
Samuel Edozie
92'
🟨
Callum Brittain
Foul
106'
🔄
Jeremy Sarmiento
116'
⚽
Shea Emmanuel Charles
2-1
119'
🔄
Welington
119'
🔄
Cameron Bragg
119'
🔄
Sontje Hansen
120'+3
🟨
Daniel Peretz
Time wasting
120'+6
🟨
Cyle Larin
Foul
20
SHOTS
19
7
ON TARGET
3
122
POSSESSION %
97
0
XG
0
11
CORNERS
5
15
FOULS
19
4
YELLOW CARDS
4
20
TOTAL SHOTS
19
7
ON TARGET
3
6
OFF TARGET
7
7
BLOCKED
9
0
INSIDE BOX
0
0
OUTSIDE BOX
0
0
XG
0
589
TOTAL PASSES
405
0
ACCURATE
0
489
ACCURACY %
316
122
POSSESSION %
97
11
CORNERS
5
23
OFFSIDES
20
2
GK SAVES
4
15
FOULS
19
4
YELLOW CARDS
4
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Southampto...
5 sh
Ryan Manni...
2/2
Shea Charl...
1/1
Nathan Woo...
0/1
Finn Azaz
1/1
Middlesbro...
1 sh
Riley McGr...
1/1
Southampton
4-2-2-2
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
3
Southampton
4
D Draws
3
Middlesbroug...
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Southampton
PROJECTED: 2-1
42%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Southampto...
35%
Draw
23%
Middlesbro...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Southa... | D | Middle... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| ELO | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| DL | 42% | 35% | 23% |
| FINAL | 42% | 35% | 23% |
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
68%
YES
32%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Tied at 66'; Southampton slight edge from home form + 24 mins to exploit Boro's weak away record.
1-1 parity at 66' with 24 mins remaining — slight home bias in late-game pressure
Southampton DDWWW home form beats Boro DDDDW away form decisively
Both teams scored already; BTTS likely (market 62%, AI 68%) — 2-1 Southampton most probable outcome
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.23
UNDER
3.94
2.5
11 bk
OVER
1.77
UNDER
2.04
3.5
10 bk
OVER
2.81
UNDER
1.41
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.58
18 bk
NO
2.27
18 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.73 7bk
Away -0.5
1.56 7bk
Away -0.75
1.39 6bk
Away -1
1.24 6bk
Away -1.25
1.20 5bk
Away -1.5
1.16 6bk
🏟 STADIUM
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton
REFEREE
A. Madley
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Madley
—
SOU... MGR
Tonda Eckert
head coach
MID... MGR
Kim Hellberg
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Southampto... · 20 OUT
Charlie Tayl...
· unfit
Ben Brereton...
· injured
Flynn Downes
· Suspended
Taylor Harwo...
· injured
+ 16 more
Middlesbro... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFTue, 12 May · 19:00
RoundSemi-finals
Season2025
🏟
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton