GOALSENSE
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ Middlesbroug... LAST 30 MIN ▲ Southampton
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
21 SHOTS 6
5 ON TARGET 0
64 POSSESSION % 36
11 CORNERS 1
7 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 2
1.82 XG 0.53
569 PASSES 327
⚡ KEY EVENTS
55' 🟨 Cyle Larin Yellow Card
59' 🟨 Flynn Downes Yellow Card
60' 🔄 Cyle Larin Substitution
68' 🔄 Riley McGree Substitution
69' 🔄 Tom Fellows Substitution
69' 🔄 Flynn Downes Substitution
79' 🔄 Morgan Whittaker Substitution
79' 🔄 David Strelec Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Daniel Peretz
8.6
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Middlesbrough
8.2 Matt Targett
7.9 Luke Ayling
7.7 Tommy Conway
Southampton
Daniel Peretz 8.6
James Bree 8.2
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 8.2
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
3 Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City 46 73
💬 COMMENTARY
59'
CARD · Yellow Card
Tripping
55'
CARD · Yellow Card
Holding
55' 🟨
Cyle Larin
Yellow Card
59' 🟨
Flynn Downes
Yellow Card
60' 🔄
Cyle Larin
Substitution 1
68' 🔄
Riley McGree
Substitution 1
69' 🔄
Tom Fellows
Substitution 2
69' 🔄
Flynn Downes
Substitution 3
79' 🔄
Morgan Whittaker
Substitution 2
79' 🔄
David Strelec
Substitution 3
86' 🔄
Leo Scienza
Substitution 4
21 SHOTS 6
5 ON TARGET 0
64 POSSESSION % 36
1.82 XG 0.53
11 CORNERS 1
7 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 2
21 TOTAL SHOTS 6
5 ON TARGET 0
10 OFF TARGET 5
6 BLOCKED 1
14 INSIDE BOX 4
7 OUTSIDE BOX 2
1.82 XG 0.53
569 TOTAL PASSES 327
484 ACCURATE 257
85 ACCURACY % 79
64 POSSESSION % 36
11 CORNERS 1
2 OFFSIDES 4
0 GK SAVES 4
7 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 2
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Middlesbro... 10 sh
Tommy Conw... 2/3
Matt Targe... 1/2
Luke Aylin... 0/2
Morgan Whi... 1/2
Aidan Morr... 0/1
Southampto... 1 sh
Taylor Har... 0/1
📈 xG RACE 1.820.53
1.8 0 0' 90'
Middlesbroug... Southampton
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
3
Middlesbroug...
4
D Draws
3
Southampton
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Middlesbrough
PROJECTED: 1-0
50%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
50%
Middlesbro...
26%
Draw
24%
Southampto...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Middle... D Southa...
POISSON 43% 31% 26%
ELO 58% 16% 26%
DL 50% 26% 24%
FINAL 50% 26% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
56%
YES
44%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Early stages (4'), level match between equal-quality sides; home edge slight but data-sparse — monitor next 20 min.
Both teams identical on points (80) and strong form — quality even
Middlesbrough home record (WWLLD) mixed; Southampton away (WWWWD) very strong
Only 4 minutes played — live state dominates; scoreline will shift probabilities dramatically by 30'
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.27
UNDER
3.58
10 bk
2.5
OVER
1.86
UNDER
1.93
11 bk
3.5
OVER
3.12
UNDER
1.34
10 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.65
16 bk
NO
2.14
16 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.91 7bk
Away -0.5 1.66 7bk
Away -0.75 1.49 6bk
Away -1 1.30 6bk
Away -1.25 1.24 5bk
Away -1.5 1.18 6bk
🏟 STADIUM
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough · 34,988 seats
REFEREE
Farai Hallam, England
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Farai Hallam,...
MID... MGR
Kim Hellberg
head coach
SOU... MGR
unannounced
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Middlesbro... · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

Southampto... · 20 OUT
Charlie Tayl... · unfit
Ben Brereton... · injured
Flynn Downes · Suspended
Taylor Harwo... · injured
+ 16 more
KICK-OFFSat, 09 May · 11:30
RoundSemi-finals
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY34,988
🏟
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough · 34,988