GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Standard Liege
Fri, 08 May · 18:45
Jupiler Pro League
OH Leuven
TOP PICK
Standard Liege
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Standard L...
28%
Draw
24%
OH Leuven
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
42% 31% 27%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 19% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 28% 24%
FINAL BLEND
48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
46%
BTTS NO
54%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.47 -2.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.28 -2.7%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.01 -3.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.27 -8.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.76 -8.6%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.50 -16.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 46% 1.62 -25.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 1.75 -26.3%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
OH LEUVEN FACTORS
+20% OH Leuven struggling away (DLWLL) and overall form dire (DLLLW); Standard form also slumping (WDLWD)
CONTEXT
· Standard home edge and better league position offset by poor recent form and away weakness; slight home favourite but data sparse.
· Standard home form mixed (LWWWL) but better league position (8th, 40pts vs Leuven 12th, 34pts)
· Bookmaker odds (44.6% home) slightly undervalue home advantage given table gap; SportMonks (39.1% home) lags bookmakers — we split difference
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Kyan Vaesen
AWY · F · 0g/1
20%
2
Abdoul Karim Traoré
AWY · F · 0g/1
20%
3
Sory Kaba
AWY · F · 0g/1
20%
4
Adnane Abid
HOM · F · 0g/1
20%
5
Rafiki Saïd
HOM · F · 0g/1
20%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Standard L...
3
Draw
5
OH Leuven
04 Apr 1-3
12 Dec 0-1
31 Aug 1-0
26 Apr 1-1
22 Apr 0-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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