GOALSENSE
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
13 SHOTS 12
4 ON TARGET 2
88 POSSESSION % 66
3 CORNERS 7
5 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 2
475 PASSES 389
⚡ KEY EVENTS
32' VAR Timothee Nkada Goal Disallowed - offside
34' 🟨 Kyan Vaesen Yellow Card
40' Roggerio Nyakossi Normal Goal
45' 🟨 Roggerio Nyakossi Yellow Card
46' 🔄 Ibrahim Karamoko Substitution
47' Henry Lawrence Normal Goal
63' 🔄 Timothee Nkada Substitution
69' Casper Nielsen Normal Goal
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Rafiki Saïd
8.6
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Standard Liege
8.6 Rafiki Saïd
8.3 Henry Lawrence
7.2 Casper Nielsen
OH Leuven
Roggerio Nyakossi 7.2
Łukasz Łakomy 7.2
Wouter George 6.9
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
1 Genk 37 33
2 Standard Liege 37 33
2 Club Brugge KV 30 63
6 Anderlecht 30 44
6 OH Leuven 37 19
32' 📺
Timothee Nkada
Goal Disallowed - offside
34' 🟨
Kyan Vaesen
Yellow Card
40'
Roggerio Nyakossi
Normal Goal
45' 🟨
Roggerio Nyakossi
Yellow Card
46' 🔄
Ibrahim Karamoko
Substitution 1
47'
Henry Lawrence
Normal Goal
63' 🔄
Timothee Nkada
Substitution 2
69'
Casper Nielsen
Normal Goal
73' 🔄
Sory Kaba
Substitution 1
73' 🔄
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Substitution 2
75' 🔄
Adnane Abid
Substitution 3
75' 🔄
Casper Nielsen
Substitution 4
79' 🔄
Kyan Vaesen
Substitution 3
79' 🔄
W. George
Substitution 4
87' 🔄
Henok Teklab
Substitution 5
90'+3 🔄
Rafiki Saïd
Substitution 5
13 SHOTS 12
4 ON TARGET 2
88 POSSESSION % 66
0 XG 0
3 CORNERS 7
5 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 2
13 TOTAL SHOTS 12
4 ON TARGET 2
7 OFF TARGET 4
2 BLOCKED 6
0 INSIDE BOX 0
0 OUTSIDE BOX 0
0 XG 0
475 TOTAL PASSES 389
0 ACCURATE 0
396 ACCURACY % 305
88 POSSESSION % 66
3 CORNERS 7
9 OFFSIDES 15
1 GK SAVES 2
5 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 2
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Standard L... 6 sh
Rafiki Saï... 0/3
Henry Lawr... 1/2
Casper Nie... 1/1
OH Leuven 2 sh
Roggerio N... 1/1
Wouter Geo... 0/1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
2
Standard Lie...
3
D Draws
5
OH Leuven
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Standard Liege
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Standard L...
28%
Draw
24%
OH Leuven
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Standa... D OH Leu...
POISSON 42% 31% 27%
ELO 55% 19% 26%
DL 48% 28% 24%
FINAL 48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
46%
YES
54%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Standard home edge and better league position offset by poor recent form and away weakness; slight home favourite but data sparse.
Standard home form mixed (LWWWL) but better league position (8th, 40pts vs Leuven 12th, 34pts)
OH Leuven struggling away (DLWLL) and overall form dire (DLLLW); Standard form also slumping (WDLWD)
Bookmaker odds (44.6% home) slightly undervalue home advantage given table gap; SportMonks (39.1% home) lags bookmakers — we split difference
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.22
UNDER
3.94
10 bk
2.5
OVER
1.75
UNDER
2.04
11 bk
3.5
OVER
2.84
UNDER
1.39
10 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.62
10 bk
NO
2.17
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.08 7bk
Away -0.5 1.80 7bk
Away -0.75 1.59 7bk
Away -1 1.39 6bk
Away -1.25 1.32 5bk
Away -1.5 1.26 6bk
🏟 STADIUM
Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Liege
REFEREE
B. Van Driessche
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
B. Van Driessc...
STA... MGR
Vincent Euvrar...
head coach
OH... MGR
Felice Mazzu
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Standard L... · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

OH Leuven · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

KICK-OFFFri, 08 May · 18:45
RoundConference League Group - 37
Season2025
🏟
Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Liege