GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Chicago Fire
Sat, 09 May · 18:30
Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
TOP PICK
New York Red Bulls
PROJECTED: 1-3
95%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
Chicago Fi...
3%
Draw
95%
New York R...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
4% 9% 88%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
DL 25% WEIGHT
2% 3% 95%
FINAL BLEND
2% 3% 95%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 3
xG 0.63 vs 3.37
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-3
0.0%
2 0-2
0.0%
3 0-4
0.0%
4 1-3
0.0%
5 0-5
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
95%
BTTS NO
5%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 5.54 +426.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 2.58 +152.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 1.44 +36.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.33 +22.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.15 +11.9%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 4.89 -85.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.14 -94.3%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 1.47 -97.1%
CONTEXT
· NYRB 3-1 up at 90'; Chicago's last-minute goal irrelevant — full-time lock is away win.
· 2-goal lead entering minute 90 (injury time) — 95%+ win probability for NYRB
· Chicago down to 10 effective men after double substitutions at 80'; NYRB penalty goal at 81' sealed control
· Match essentially over; late consolation goal (88') does not change final outcome
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Hugo Cuypers
HOM · F · 11g/8
73%
2
Julian Hall
AWY · F · 6g/12
27%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Chicago Fi...
4
Draw
2
New York R...
27 Jul 1-0
05 Apr 2-1
15 Sep 2-1
13 Apr 0-0
30 Sep 0-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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