β‘ AI
1-3 Β· New York Red Bulls 95%
Β· Over 2.5 92%
88
π FULL-TIME STATS
15
SHOTS
8
4
ON TARGET
4
64
POSSESSION %
36
6
CORNERS
3
7
FOULS
10
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
0.91
XG
1.48
567
PASSES
321
β‘ KEY EVENTS
8'
VAR
J. Bamba
Goal Disallowed - offside
18'
π¨
R. Voloder
Yellow Card
45'
β½
J. Ruvalcaba
Normal Goal
46'
π
J. Hall
Substitution
49'
β½
C. Cowell
Normal Goal
61'
π
E. Forsberg
Substitution
62'
π
J. Bamba
Substitution
73'
π
C. Cowell
Substitution
β MAN OF THE MATCH
D. Nealis
7.7
RATING
π PLAYER RATINGS Β· TOP 5 EACH
Chicago Fire
7.2
A. SalΓ©tros
7.2
T. D'Avilla
6.7
Joel Waterman
New York Red Bulls
D. Nealis
7.7
A. Mehmeti
7.6
J. Ruvalcaba
7.3
π LEAGUE CONTEXT
3
Los Angeles FC
22
35
Los Angeles FC
22
35
3
Chicago Fire
20
36
Chicago Fire
20
36
4
New England Revolution
21
34
New England Revolution
21
34
7
New York City FC
21
27
New York City FC
21
27
8
New York Red Bulls
21
26
New York Red Bulls
21
26
8
Real Salt Lake
20
28
Real Salt Lake
20
28
8'
πΊ
J. Bamba
Goal Disallowed - offside
18'
π¨
R. Voloder
Yellow Card
45'
β½
J. Ruvalcaba
Normal Goal
46'
π
J. Hall
Substitution 1
49'
β½
C. Cowell
Normal Goal
61'
π
E. Forsberg
Substitution 2
62'
π
J. Bamba
Substitution 1
73'
π
C. Cowell
Substitution 3
73'
π
M. Dos Santos
Substitution 4
80'
π
A. SalΓ©tros
Substitution 2
80'
π
J. Dean
Substitution 3
80'
π
T. D'Avilla
Substitution 4
80'
π
R. Voloder
Substitution 5
81'
β½
E. Choupo-Moting
Penalty
82'
π¨
M. Haile-Selassie
Yellow Card
82'
π¨
J. Ruvalcaba
Yellow Card
85'
π
M. Haile-Selassie
Substitution 5
87'
β½
D. Nealis
Own Goal
90'+6
π¨
O. Valencia
Yellow Card
15
SHOTS
8
4
ON TARGET
4
64
POSSESSION %
36
0.91
XG
1.48
6
CORNERS
3
7
FOULS
10
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
15
TOTAL SHOTS
8
4
ON TARGET
4
4
OFF TARGET
3
7
BLOCKED
1
9
INSIDE BOX
7
6
OUTSIDE BOX
1
0.91
XG
1.48
567
TOTAL PASSES
321
480
ACCURATE
245
85
ACCURACY %
76
64
POSSESSION %
36
6
CORNERS
3
4
OFFSIDES
1
1
GK SAVES
3
7
FOULS
10
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
0
RED CARDS
0
π― SHOT BREAKDOWN
Chicago Fi...
3 sh
P. Zincker...
1/2
M. Haile-S...
0/1
New York R...
4 sh
C. Cowell
2/2
J. Ruvalca...
1/1
R. Mosquer...
0/1
π xG RACE
0.91 β 1.48
Chicago Fire
New York Red...
Chicago Fire
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD Β· ALL-TIME Β· 10 Recent meetings
3
Chicago Fire
4
D Draws
3
New York Red...
RECENT MEETINGS
β‘ AI TOP PICK
New York Red Bulls
PROJECTED: 1-3
95%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
Chicago Fi...
3%
Draw
95%
New York R...
π€ AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Chicag... | D | New Yo... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 4% | 9% | 88% |
| ELO | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| DL | 2% | 3% | 95% |
| FINAL | 2% | 3% | 95% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 3
π OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
β
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
β
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
95%
YES
5%
NO
π‘ KEY FACTORS
NYRB 3-1 up at 90'; Chicago's last-minute goal irrelevant β full-time lock is away win.
2-goal lead entering minute 90 (injury time) β 95%+ win probability for NYRB
Chicago down to 10 effective men after double substitutions at 80'; NYRB penalty goal at 81' sealed control
Match essentially over; late consolation goal (88') does not change final outcome
OVER / UNDER Β· GOALS
1.5
9 bk
OVER
1.08
UNDER
7.21
2.5
9 bk
OVER
1.33
UNDER
3.19
3.5
10 bk
OVER
1.87
UNDER
1.89
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.44
9 bk
NO
2.61
9 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
3.23 5bk
Away -0.5
2.65 6bk
Away -0.75
2.41 6bk
Away -1
2.14 7bk
Away -1.25
1.89 6bk
Away -1.5
1.67 9bk
π STADIUM
Soldier Field
Chicago
REFEREE
A. Chapman
β MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Chapman
β
CHI... MGR
Mario Barcena
head coach
NEW... MGR
β
unannounced
π₯ UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Chicago Fi... Β· 0 OUT
No injuries reported
New York R... Β· 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFSat, 09 May Β· 18:30
RoundRegular Season - 13
Season2026
π
Soldier Field
Chicago