⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Union Berlin
PROJECTED: 1-3
95%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
FSV Mainz...
3%
Draw
95%
Union Berl...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
4%
9%
88%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
1%
1%
98%
DL
25% WEIGHT
2%
3%
95%
FINAL BLEND
2%
3%
95%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 3
xG 0.63 vs 3.37
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-3
0.0%
2
0-2
0.0%
3
0-4
0.0%
4
1-3
0.0%
5
0-5
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
85%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
88%
BTTS NO
12%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
UNION BERLIN FACTORS
+30%
Union Berlin 2 goals up with 90' on the clock; Mainz's single goal already in; match effectively over.
+20%
Union Berlin scored twice in second half (68', 88'), maintaining control despite poor season form
CONTEXT
·
2-goal lead at 90' minute — comeback statistically <2% in professional football
·
Mainz's recent form (WLDLL) and home struggles (LLWWW) confirm they lack late-game resilience
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Nadiem Amiri
HOM · M · 11g/25
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
FSV Mainz...
4
Draw
5
Union Berl...
10 Jan
2-2
19 Jan
2-1
24 Aug
1-1
07 Feb
1-1
20 Aug
4-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.