Bundesliga · Regular Season... FT

FSV Mainz 05 #10TH · 37pts

WLDLL

1-3

HT 0-1

Union Berlin #12TH · 36pts

DLLLD

⚡ AI 1-3 · Union Berlin 95% · Over 2.5 85% 88

MATCH HIGHLIGHTS 1 Clips

Bundesliga: FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin

YouTube ↗

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

▼ FSV Mainz 05 LAST 30 MIN ▲ Union Berlin

📊 FULL-TIME STATS

14 SHOTS 15

3 ON TARGET 9

53 POSSESSION % 47

7 CORNERS 8

11 FOULS 10

2 YELLOW CARDS 1

1.5 XG 2.67

456 PASSES 398

⚡ KEY EVENTS

7' 🟨 A. Caci Yellow Card

16' 🔄 Danny da Costa Substitution

38' ⚽ Andrej Ilić Normal Goal

48' ⚽ S. Becker Normal Goal

57' VAR P. Tietz Goal Disallowed - offside

60' 🔄 Livan Burcu Substitution

60' 🔄 Tom Alexander Rothe Substitution

60' 🔄 Ilyas Ansah Substitution

📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH

FSV Mainz 05

8.3 S. Becker

7.3 Robin Zentner

7.2 Nadiem Amiri

Union Berlin

Christopher Trimmel 8.9

Oliver Burke 7.7

Aljoscha Kemlein 7.3

🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT

FC Augsburg 33 43

FSV Mainz 05 33 37

Hamburger SV 33 37

Union Berlin 33 36

Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35

💬 COMMENTARY

75'

CARD · Yellow Card

Foul

CARD · Yellow Card

Foul

7' 🟨

A. Caci

Yellow Card

16' 🔄

Danny da Costa

Substitution 1

38' ⚽

Andrej Ilić

Normal Goal

48' ⚽

S. Becker

Normal Goal

57' 📺

P. Tietz

Goal Disallowed - offside

60' 🔄

Livan Burcu

Substitution 1

60' 🔄

Tom Alexander Rothe

Substitution 2

60' 🔄

Ilyas Ansah

Substitution 3

70' 🔄

A. Caci

Substitution 2

70' 🔄

Paul Nebel

Substitution 3

75' 🟨

Lee Jae-Sung

Yellow Card

80' 🟨

Derrick Köhn

Yellow Card

81' 🔄

P. Tietz

Substitution 4

81' 🔄

S. Becker

Substitution 5

81' 🔄

Christopher Trimmel

Substitution 4

88' ⚽

Oliver Burke

Normal Goal

89' 🔄

Oliver Burke

Substitution 5

90'+1 ⚽

Josip Juranović

Normal Goal

14 SHOTS 15

3 ON TARGET 9

53 POSSESSION % 47

1.5 XG 2.67

7 CORNERS 8

11 FOULS 10

2 YELLOW CARDS 1

14 TOTAL SHOTS 15

3 ON TARGET 9

7 OFF TARGET 5

4 BLOCKED 1

10 INSIDE BOX 12

4 OUTSIDE BOX 3

1.5 XG 2.67

456 TOTAL PASSES 398

385 ACCURATE 327

84 ACCURACY % 82

53 POSSESSION % 47

7 CORNERS 8

2 OFFSIDES 0

6 GK SAVES 2

11 FOULS 10

2 YELLOW CARDS 1

0 RED CARDS 0

🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

FSV Mainz... 3 sh

S. Becker 1/2

A. Caci 0/1

Union Berl... 9 sh

Andrej Ili... 3/4

Danilho Do... 1/3

Oliver Bur... 1/1

Aljoscha K... 0/1

📈 xG RACE 1.50 – 2.67

FSV Mainz 05 Union Berlin

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

Robin Zentner G 23

S. Becker F 20

P. Tietz F 2

Phillipp Mwene M 10

Nadiem Amiri M 6

K. Sano M 8

Paul Nebel M 19

A. Caci M 31

Dominik Kohr D 4

Stefan Posch D 21

Danny da Costa D

Bench (9)

Nelson Weiper F 30

Silvan Widmer D 15

Lennard Maloney M 24

Sota Kawasaki M 7

Lee Jae-Sung M 22

Nikolas Veratschnig D 33

Daniel Batz G 48

K. Potulski D 11

Armindo Sieb F

Union Berlin 4-2-3-1

Carl Klaus G 23

Ilyas Ansah M 7

Tom Alexander Rothe D 4

Diogo Leite D 5

Danilho Doekhi D 28

Christopher Trimmel D

Bench (9)

Josip Juranović D 21

Tim Skarke M 33

Alex Král M 39

Derrick Köhn D 13

András Schäfer M 34

Stanley Nsoki D 14

Leopold Querfeld D 48

Tom Wisbereit G 11

Woo-Yeong Jeong M

HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings

FSV Mainz 05

D Draws

Union Berlin

RECENT MEETINGS

10 Jan 2-2 19 Jan 2-1 24 Aug 1-1 07 Feb 1-1 20 Aug 4-1

⚡ AI TOP PICK

Union Berlin

PROJECTED: 1-3

95%

CONF 88

WIN PROBABILITY

FSV Mainz...

Draw

95%

Union Berl...

🤖 AI MODEL BLEND

MODEL	FSV Ma...	D	Union...
POISSON	4%	9%	88%
ELO	1%	1%	98%
DL	2%	3%	95%
FINAL	2%	3%	95%

PREDICTED SCORE

1 - 3

📊 OVER / UNDER

OVER 1.5

—

OVER 2.5

85%

OVER 3.5

—

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

88%

YES

12%

💡 KEY FACTORS

Union Berlin 2 goals up with 90' on the clock; Mainz's single goal already in; match effectively over.

2-goal lead at 90' minute — comeback statistically <2% in professional football

Union Berlin scored twice in second half (68', 88'), maintaining control despite poor season form

Mainz's recent form (WLDLL) and home struggles (LLWWW) confirm they lack late-game resilience

OVER / UNDER · GOALS

1.5

OVER

1.18

UNDER

4.52

9 bk

2.5

OVER

1.64

UNDER

2.25

11 bk

3.5

OVER

2.55

UNDER

1.48

10 bk

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

YES

1.63

10 bk

2.19

10 bk

ASIAN HANDICAP

Away -0.25 2.55 6bk

Away -0.5 2.16 7bk

Away -0.75 1.91 7bk

Away -1 1.67 8bk

Away -1.25 1.53 7bk

Away -1.5 1.41 8bk

🏟 STADIUM

MEWA ARENA

Mainz · 34,034 seats

REFEREE

Florian Exner, Germany

📺 WHERE TO WATCH

MNC Soccer Channel MNC Soccer Channel RCTI+ RCTI+ Vision+ Vision+

Astro Arena 2 Astro Arena 2 Astro Go Astro Go beIN Sports Connect Malaysia beIN Sports Connect Malaysia beIN Sports Malaysia beIN Sports Malaysia sooka sooka

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AIS PLAY AIS PLAY beIN SPORTS CONNECT beIN SPORTS CONNECT

On Sports+ On Sports+ TV 360 TV 360 VTVcab ON VTVcab ON

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS

REFEREE

Florian Exner,...

—

FSV... MGR

Urs Fischer

head coach

UNI... MGR

Marie-Louise E...

head coach

🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS

FSV Mainz... · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

Union Berl... · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

KICK-OFFSun, 10 May · 17:30

RoundRegular Season - 33

Season2025

SURFACEGrass

CAPACITY34,034

🏟

MEWA ARENA

Mainz · 34,034