GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Wrexham
Sat, 02 May · 11:30
Championship
Middlesbrough
TOP PICK
Wrexham
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Wrexham
28%
Draw
34%
Middlesbro...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 34%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 19% 38%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 28% 34%
FINAL BLEND
38% 28% 34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
WREXHAM FACTORS
+20% Wrexham home form volatile (WLWLW); Boro away form solid (DDDWW recently improving)
+15% Recent form diverges: Boro WWDLD, Wrexham LWWLL — suggests momentum to visitors
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched on quality; Middlesbrough's superior form and away record (DDDWW) edge out Wrexham's home advantage.
· Middlesbrough 4th vs Wrexham 6th (9-pt gap); Boro better GD (+25 vs +4)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Morgan Whittaker
AWY · 14g/39
28%
2
Josh Windass
HOM · 14g/40
28%
3
Kieffer Moore
HOM · 11g/38
23%
4
Tommy Conway
AWY · 12g/45
21%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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