TOP PICK
Willem II
PROJECTED: 2-0
64%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
64%
Willem II
22%
Draw
14%
Waalwijk
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
72%
18%
10%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
75%
12%
13%
DL
25% WEIGHT
64%
22%
14%
FINAL BLEND
64%
22%
14%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.20 vs 0.70
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
WILLEM II FACTORS
+30%
Willem II clear home favourite; recent H2H and strong home form justify 2-0 prediction.
+20%
H2H: Willem II won 1-0 on 2026-05-05 and 3-0 on 2024-09-15; dominance at home clear
WAALWIJK FACTORS
+15%
Waalwijk in downward spiral (LDDWL) and historically struggle away vs this opponent
CONTEXT
·
Willem II: WLWWW recent + perfect home record (WWW) vs Waalwijk's poor away form (DLLLW)
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Willem II
2
Draw
2
Waalwijk
05 May
0-1
26 Jan
2-0
15 Sep
3-0
06 Feb
3-1
21 Sep
1-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.