GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Villarreal
Sat, 02 May · 12:00
La Liga
Levante
TOP PICK
Villarreal
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Villarreal
22%
Draw
20%
Levante
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
67% 19% 14%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
67% 12% 21%
DL 25% WEIGHT
58% 22% 20%
FINAL BLEND
58% 22% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.15 vs 0.85
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
64%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
65%
BTTS NO
35%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 64% 1.60 +2.7%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.77 +2.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 65% 1.56 +1.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.23 -1.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.23 -4.0%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 3.96 -12.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.01 -15.7%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 4.03 -19.5%
CONTEXT
· Villarreal's home dominance and quality gap favour them, but Levante's recent form and BTTS odds suggest goals both ways.
· Villarreal perfect at home (WWWWW) vs Levante terrible away (DLDLL) — decisive split
· 16-point gap + GD +21 (Villarreal) vs -13 (Levante) reflects dominant home favourite
· H2H shows Villarreal wins 3-0-2 recent; Levante's last victory was 2022 — form shifted massively
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
G. Mikautadze
HOM · 9g/28
53%
2
Alberto Moleiro
HOM · 9g/32
47%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Villarreal
1
Draw
3
Levante
18 Feb 0-1
02 Apr 2-0
03 Jan 5-0
18 Apr 1-5
02 Jan 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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