TOP PICK
Venezia
PROJECTED: 1-1
45%
CONF 18
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
Venezia
30%
Draw
25%
Modena
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
39%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
52%
21%
27%
DL
25% WEIGHT
45%
30%
25%
FINAL BLEND
45%
30%
25%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.08 vs 0.92
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
55%
BTTS NO
45%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Insufficient pre-season data — treat as baseline home edge guess only.
·
No recent form, stats, or H2H available; pre-season Coppa Italia context
·
Generic home advantage applied (45% vs 25% away); draw neutral at 30%
·
Lineups unpublished and no injury detail — prediction is weak heuristic
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
50%
Akor Adams
HOM · 2g/1
2
50%
G. Ambrosino
AWY · 2g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Venezia
2
Draw
1
Modena
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.