⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Varnsdorf
PROJECTED: 1-0
78%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Varnsdorf
16%
Draw
6%
Benátky na...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
53%
29%
18%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
92%
5%
3%
DL
25% WEIGHT
78%
16%
6%
FINAL BLEND
78%
16%
6%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.29 vs 0.61
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
2-0
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
22%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
18%
BTTS NO
82%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
5 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Varnsdorf 1-0 up with 16 minutes left; strong likelihood of holding on despite thin data.
·
One-goal lead at 74' with only 16 minutes remaining — statistically >75% hold-on rate
·
No recent form or xG data available; relying on live-match dominance rule
·
Benátky nad Jizerou 0 shots/chances in recent events — no late-game momentum
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Varnsdorf
0
Draw
1
Benátky na...
28 Sep
2-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.