⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
UD Casetas
PROJECTED: 1-1
40%
CONF 35
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Utrillas
32%
Draw
40%
UD Casetas
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
32%
31%
37%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
31%
23%
46%
DL
25% WEIGHT
28%
32%
40%
FINAL BLEND
28%
32%
40%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 0.95 vs 1.05
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-1
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
1-0
0.0%
5
0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
4 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Away goal at 30' in data-thin match; draw most likely given 60 min remaining, but insufficient data limits confidence.
·
UD Casetas ahead 1-0 at 30' — away-goal advantage in open half
·
Tercera División Group 17 (regional Spanish league) — thin statistical coverage
·
60 minutes remain; home team time to equalize but UD Casetas has momentum
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Utrillas
2
Draw
0
UD Casetas
21 Dec
0-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.