GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Utiel
Sun, 26 Apr · 16:00
Tercera División RFEF -...
Jove Español
TOP PICK
Utiel
PROJECTED: 1-0
45%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
Utiel
38%
Draw
17%
Jove Españ...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
43% 31% 26%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
52% 30% 18%
DL 25% WEIGHT
45% 38% 17%
FINAL BLEND
45% 38% 17%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.11 vs 0.79
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
CONTEXT
· Early Utiel goal gives home slight edge; scoreline very fluid at 13'—expect tighter probabilities as match develops.
· Utiel scored at 25' (minute adjustment pending confirmation); early home pressure typical
· H2H heavily defensive (4 of 5 last meetings 0–0 or 1–goal margins); low-scoring trend
· Jove away form weak (LW) vs Utiel home form mixed (WL); home edge modest but real
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Utiel
4
Draw
3
Jove Españ...
20 Dec 0-0
11 May 2-1
11 Jan 0-0
28 Jan 1-3
09 Sep 3-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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