GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Universitatea Craiova
Wed, 29 Jul · 17:30
Champions League
Levski Sofia
TOP PICK
Universitatea Craiova
PROJECTED: 1-0
42%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Universita...
38%
Draw
20%
Levski Sof...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
42% 31% 27%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
49% 30% 22%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 38% 20%
FINAL BLEND
42% 38% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.09 vs 0.81
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
35%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 3.27 +24.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.76 +2.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.25 -0.1%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.01 -15.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.29 -20.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 2.14 -25.3%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 3.72 -25.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 1.88 -47.3%
CONTEXT
· Match at minute 1 with minimal data; home slight edge from venue and recent win, but Levski's road draw pattern and lack of xG/season stats limit conviction.
· Craiova home venue + recent W vs Levski's away form (D) = modest home edge
· H2H split: 1-0 to Levski (away) 7 days ago; today's fixture is immediate re-match — role reversal favors hosts
· Very limited season data (no GF/GA/xG) — confidence artificially capped; treat as weak signal
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
Ștefan Baiaram
HOM · F · 4g/8
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Universita...
1
Draw
1
Levski Sof...
22 Jul 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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