GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Universitatea Craiova
Thu, 13 Aug · 17:00
Europa League
KuPS
TOP PICK
Universitatea Craiova
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Universita...
38%
Draw
14%
KuPS
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
44% 31% 25%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
56% 30% 14%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 38% 14%
FINAL BLEND
48% 38% 14%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.14 vs 0.76
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
35%
BTTS NO
65%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 4.66 +77.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 3.03 +57.8%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 14% 8.66 +21.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 86% 1.06 -8.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 1.81 -24.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 2.13 -25.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.16 -27.9%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.34 -35.7%
KUPS FACTORS
+20% Craiova recent form DDLWW (last 2 wins) vs KuPS DLLLW (only 1 win in 5) — home team slightly stronger
+15% Craiova home form mixed (DW), KuPS away form poor (LWL) — home advantage real but not overwhelming
CONTEXT
· Match at 2 minutes; minimal signal yet. Slight home edge from venue + recent W form, but thin data and weak away side suggest cautious lean to Craiova or draw.
· Only 2 minutes played — scoreline will dominate as match develops; reweight at 15'+ with meaningful xG or momentum
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
S. Baiaram
HOM · 4g/8
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Universita...
2
Draw
0
KuPS
06 Aug 1-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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