GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Sat, 18 Jul · 23:00
Liga MX
Pachuca
TOP PICK
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
PROJECTED: 1-0
42%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
U.N.A.M. -...
32%
Draw
26%
Pachuca
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
40% 32% 28%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
48% 23% 29%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 32% 26%
FINAL BLEND
42% 32% 26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.06 vs 0.84
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 3.37 +7.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.39 +2.8%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.37 -0.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.55 -10.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.28 -12.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.79 -13.9%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 2.82 -26.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.61 -38.8%
PACHUCA FACTORS
+20% U.N.A.M. home form LWDWW mixed; Pachuca away form LWLWD weak
+15% H2H split: recent UNAM edges (1-0, 2-0) vs older Pachuca wins; no clear pattern
CONTEXT
· Only 2 minutes played — scoreline and momentum will shift dramatically; treat as placeholder until 20+ min mark.
· Match in infancy (2'); current 0-0 has negligible predictive power
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Guillermo Martínez
HOM · F · 9g/26
40%
2
Robert Morales
HOM · M · 9g/23
36%
3
Kenedy
AWY · M · 9g/34
24%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
U.N.A.M. -...
2
Draw
4
Pachuca
18 May 1-0
15 May 1-0
25 Apr 0-2
21 Nov 3-1
20 Jul 2-3
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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