⥠AI
1-1 · Toluca 38%
42
đ FULL-TIME STATS
25
SHOTS
8
7
ON TARGET
3
75
POSSESSION %
25
6
CORNERS
2
15
FOULS
10
0
YELLOW CARDS
3
1.51
XG
1.32
742
PASSES
246
⥠KEY EVENTS
29'
âœ
Ivan LĂłpez
Normal Goal
42'
âœ
JuliĂĄn Carranza
Normal Goal
45'+4
đš
RaĂșl MartĂnez
Yellow Card
45'+5
âœ
Everardo LĂłpez
Normal Goal
45'+7
đ„
JuliĂĄn Carranza
Red Card
45'+7
đš
AgustĂn Oliveros
Yellow Card
46'
đ
Juan Torres
Substitution
46'
đ
Carlos Vargas
Substitution
â MAN OF THE MATCH
Alexis Vega
9.0
RATING
đ PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Toluca
9.0
Alexis Vega
7.9
Ivan LĂłpez
7.9
JesĂșs Gallardo
Necaxa
Luis Jimenez
7.3
Danny Leyva
7.2
Pedro Pedraza
6.7
đ LEAGUE CONTEXT
4
Pachuca
17
31
Pachuca
17
31
5
Toluca
17
30
Toluca
17
30
6
Atlas
17
26
Atlas
17
26
14
Atletico San Luis
17
18
Atletico San Luis
17
18
15
Necaxa
17
18
Necaxa
17
18
16
MazatlĂĄn
17
15
MazatlĂĄn
17
15
đŹ COMMENTARY
90'
CARD · Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
90'
CARD · Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
80'
CARD · Red Card
Foul
80'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
45'
CARD · Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'
CARD · Red Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
29'
âœ
Ivan LĂłpez
Normal Goal
42'
âœ
JuliĂĄn Carranza
Normal Goal
45'+4
đš
RaĂșl MartĂnez
Yellow Card
45'+5
âœ
Everardo LĂłpez
Normal Goal
45'+7
đ„
JuliĂĄn Carranza
Red Card
45'+7
đš
AgustĂn Oliveros
Yellow Card
46'
đ
Juan Torres
Substitution 1
46'
đ
Carlos Vargas
Substitution 2
46'
đ
Javier Ruiz
Substitution 3
57'
âœ
Luis Jimenez
Own Goal
59'
đ
Jorge DĂaz
Substitution 1
59'
đ
Ivan LĂłpez
Substitution 2
65'
đ
Ărick GutiĂ©rrez
Substitution 3
65'
đ
JesĂșs Ricardo Angulo
Substitution 4
67'
đ
Lorenzo Faravelli
Substitution 4
80'
đš
AgustĂn Oliveros
Yellow Card
80'
đ„
AgustĂn Oliveros
Red Card
85'
đ
Danny Leyva
Substitution 5
90'
đ
Alexis Vega
Substitution 5
90'+7
đš
Franco Romero
Yellow Card
90'+7
đš
Juan Valencia
Yellow Card
25
SHOTS
8
7
ON TARGET
3
75
POSSESSION %
25
1.51
XG
1.32
6
CORNERS
2
15
FOULS
10
0
YELLOW CARDS
3
25
TOTAL SHOTS
8
7
ON TARGET
3
12
OFF TARGET
3
6
BLOCKED
2
15
INSIDE BOX
3
10
OUTSIDE BOX
5
1.51
XG
1.32
742
TOTAL PASSES
246
686
ACCURATE
179
92
ACCURACY %
73
75
POSSESSION %
25
6
CORNERS
2
1
OFFSIDES
0
1
GK SAVES
5
15
FOULS
10
0
YELLOW CARDS
3
0
RED CARDS
2
đŻ SHOT BREAKDOWN
Toluca
10 sh
Alexis Veg...
2/4
JesĂșs Gall...
1/4
Ivan LĂłpez
1/2
Necaxa
1 sh
Danny Leyv...
0/1
đ xG RACE
1.51 â 1.32
Toluca
Necaxa
Toluca
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
8
Toluca
2
D Draws
0
Necaxa
RECENT MEETINGS
⥠AI TOP PICK
Toluca
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 42
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Toluca
34%
Draw
28%
Necaxa
đ€ AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Toluca | D | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 37% | 31% | 33% |
| ELO | 43% | 25% | 31% |
| DL | 38% | 34% | 28% |
| FINAL | 38% | 34% | 28% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
đ OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
â
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
â
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
58%
YES
42%
NO
đĄ KEY FACTORS
0-0 at minute 2; Toluca home form weak (LLWDW), Necaxa away form poor (LLLLD) â likely low-scoring contest.
Toluca home form inconsistent (LLWDW) â only 2W in last 5 at stadium
Necaxa away record dire (LLLLD) â winless in last 5 on road
Very early match state (2 min) â no momentum clues; draw/under statistically favoured
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
11 bk
OVER
1.13
UNDER
5.42
2.5
11 bk
OVER
1.46
UNDER
2.57
3.5
12 bk
OVER
2.18
UNDER
1.65
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.58
11 bk
NO
2.23
11 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
3.29 6bk
Away -0.5
2.65 7bk
Away -0.75
2.36 7bk
Away -1
2.12 8bk
Away -1.25
1.83 7bk
Away -1.5
1.64 11bk
đ STADIUM
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca
â MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
TBA
~24h before
TOL... MGR
Ricardo Mohame...
head coach
NEC... MGR
Martin Varini
head coach
đ„ UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Toluca · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Necaxa · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFMon, 03 Aug · 01:10
RoundApertura - 3
Season2026
đ
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca