⥠AI
1-1 · Toluca 38%
24
đ FULL-TIME STATS
15
SHOTS
16
7
ON TARGET
5
42
POSSESSION %
58
2
CORNERS
7
14
FOULS
14
5
YELLOW CARDS
3
1.04
XG
1.15
326
PASSES
438
⥠KEY EVENTS
5'
âœ
SebastiĂĄn CĂłrdova
Normal Goal
21'
đš
Luis Garcia
Yellow Card
22'
đš
Franco Rossi
Yellow Card
23'
đš
Emilio Rodriguez
Yellow Card
27'
đ
Oswaldo Virgen
Substitution
34'
đš
Stiven Barreiro
Yellow Card
45'+3
âœ
Diber Cambindo
Normal Goal
46'
đ
Stiven Barreiro
Substitution
â MAN OF THE MATCH
JesĂșs Gallardo
8.2
RATING
đ PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Toluca
8.2
JesĂșs Gallardo
8.0
Jorge DĂaz
7.9
NicolĂĄs Castro
Leon
Diber Cambindo
7.7
Rodrigo Echeverria
7.2
JosĂ© RodrĂguez
6.9
đ LEAGUE CONTEXT
4
Pachuca
17
31
Pachuca
17
31
5
Toluca
17
30
Toluca
17
30
6
Atlas
17
26
Atlas
17
26
9
Club Tijuana
17
23
Club Tijuana
17
23
10
Leon
17
22
Leon
17
22
11
Club Queretaro
17
20
Club Queretaro
17
20
5'
âœ
SebastiĂĄn CĂłrdova
Normal Goal
21'
đš
Luis Garcia
Yellow Card
22'
đš
Franco Rossi
Yellow Card
23'
đš
Emilio Rodriguez
Yellow Card
27'
đ
Oswaldo Virgen
Substitution 1
34'
đš
Stiven Barreiro
Yellow Card
45'+3
âœ
Diber Cambindo
Normal Goal
46'
đ
Stiven Barreiro
Substitution 1
46'
đ
IvĂĄn Moreno
Substitution 2
46'
đ
Franco Rossi
Substitution 2
46'
đ
Mauricio Andre Isais
Substitution 3
56'
đ
Emilio Rodriguez
Substitution 3
56'
đ
F. Beltran Cruz
Substitution 4
58'
đš
Antonio Briseño
Yellow Card
59'
âœ
Fernando Arce JuĂĄrez
Normal Goal
63'
đ
Erick Orta
Substitution 4
65'
đš
Antonio Briseño
Yellow Card
65'
đ„
Antonio Briseño
Red Card
70'
đ
Rodrigo Echeverria
Substitution 5
72'
đ
SebastiĂĄn CĂłrdova
Substitution 5
73'
âœ
Jorge DĂaz
Normal Goal
73'
đš
Jorge DĂaz
Yellow Card
76'
âœ
NicolĂĄs Castro
Normal Goal
80'
đš
Bryan Colula
Yellow Card
15
SHOTS
16
7
ON TARGET
5
42
POSSESSION %
58
1.04
XG
1.15
2
CORNERS
7
14
FOULS
14
5
YELLOW CARDS
3
15
TOTAL SHOTS
16
7
ON TARGET
5
5
OFF TARGET
6
3
BLOCKED
5
7
INSIDE BOX
9
8
OUTSIDE BOX
7
1.04
XG
1.15
326
TOTAL PASSES
438
245
ACCURATE
366
75
ACCURACY %
84
42
POSSESSION %
58
2
CORNERS
7
1
OFFSIDES
1
4
GK SAVES
3
14
FOULS
14
5
YELLOW CARDS
3
1
RED CARDS
0
đŻ SHOT BREAKDOWN
Toluca
8 sh
JesĂșs Gall...
0/2
Jorge DĂaz
2/2
SebastiĂĄn...
1/2
NicolĂĄs Ca...
1/1
Fernando A...
1/1
Leon
5 sh
Diber Camb...
1/3
Rodrigo Ec...
0/1
Fernando B...
1/1
đ xG RACE
1.04 â 1.15
Toluca
Leon
Toluca
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
3
Toluca
6
D Draws
1
Leon
RECENT MEETINGS
⥠AI TOP PICK
Toluca
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 24
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Toluca
32%
Draw
30%
Leon
đ€ AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Toluca | D | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| ELO | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| DL | 38% | 32% | 30% |
| FINAL | 38% | 32% | 30% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
đ OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
â
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
â
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
54%
YES
46%
NO
đĄ KEY FACTORS
Match just started (3'); insufficient data â treat as baseline home-team lean only.
Only 3 minutes played; no xG, form, or injury data available
Season stats, H2H context, and recent form all missing
Baseline home advantage applied; wide uncertainty remains
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.14
UNDER
5.23
2.5
10 bk
OVER
1.48
UNDER
2.50
3.5
11 bk
OVER
2.25
UNDER
1.61
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.55
10 bk
NO
2.28
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
2.74 6bk
Away -0.5
2.32 6bk
Away -0.75
2.04 7bk
Away -1
1.79 8bk
Away -1.25
1.60 7bk
Away -1.5
1.49 9bk
đ STADIUM
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca
REFEREE
D. Quintero
â MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
D. Quintero
â
TOL... MGR
Ricardo Mohame...
head coach
LEO... MGR
Ignacio Ambriz
head coach
đ„ UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Toluca · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Leon · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFSun, 26 Apr · 01:05
RoundClausura - 17
Season2025
đ
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca