⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Tokyo Verdy
PROJECTED: 2-1
92%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
92%
Tokyo Verd...
7%
Draw
1%
Kashima
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
76%
16%
8%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
98%
1%
1%
DL
25% WEIGHT
92%
7%
1%
FINAL BLEND
92%
7%
1%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.36 vs 0.64
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
78%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
88%
BTTS NO
12%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
KASHIMA FACTORS
+25%
1-goal lead in 90th minute with Kashima reduced to 10 men (red card 70') — >99% win probability for Verdy
+15%
Kashima's red card and double yellow (70') + defensive attrition (2 subs at 77') removed their attacking threat in final 20 minutes
CONTEXT
·
Tokyo Verdy 2-1 up at 90'; Kashima down to 10 men since 70'. Match effectively over.
·
Tokyo Verdy's home form (WLW) + Kashima's away form (WWWWW) diverged dramatically this match; Verdy executed at home despite poor recent form
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
29%
Y. Suzuki
AWY · F · 6g/13
2
29%
Léo Ceará
AWY · F · 6g/13
3
28%
I. Someno
HOM · F · 4g/9
4
13%
T. Yoshida
HOM · M · 4g/11
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Tokyo Verd...
1
Draw
3
Kashima
07 Mar
2-0
30 Nov
0-1
22 Feb
4-0
25 Aug
2-1
12 May
3-3
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.