GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Tajikistan U20
Sun, 17 May · 12:00
Friendlies
Uzbekistan U20
TOP PICK
Tajikistan U20
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 28
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Tajikistan...
28%
Draw
24%
Uzbekistan...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
42% 31% 27%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 19% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 28% 24%
FINAL BLEND
48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
CONTEXT
· Extremely limited data on youth friendlies — treat as weak heuristic; slight home edge baseline only.
· Both teams on identical 2-win form but no season stats available
· Friendly match (lower stakes) with unpredictable intensity
· No H2H, no lineup data, no xG — confidence floors at ~28%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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