GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Sturm Graz
Tue, 21 Jul · 18:30
Champions League
Heart Of Midlothian
TOP PICK
Sturm Graz
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Sturm Graz
32%
Draw
20%
Heart Of M...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
43% 31% 26%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
56% 23% 21%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 32% 20%
FINAL BLEND
48% 32% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.11 vs 0.79
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 3.68 +17.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.92 -0.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.22 -2.8%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.84 -11.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.23 -16.1%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 3.87 -22.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 1.70 -28.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.63 -38.2%
CONTEXT
· Only 2 minutes played in Champions League qualifier; treat this as a pre-match baseline until pattern emerges.
· Match at minute 2 — virtually no information; live state signals will dominate after 20+ mins
· Sturm home form weak (DWLLD) vs Hearts away form mixed (WLLDW) — slight home edge only
· Recent form divergent: Sturm slumping (DWWLL), Hearts stronger (WWLWL) — slight away tilt in context
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
Pierre Landry Kaboré
AWY · F · 0g/1
24%
2
Szymon Włodarczyk
HOM · F · 0g/1
24%
3
Seedy Jatta
HOM · F · 0g/1
24%
4
Blair Spittal
AWY · M · 0g/1
13%
5
Oisin McEntee
AWY · M · 0g/1
13%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Sturm Graz
0
Draw
0
Heart Of M...
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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