⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Stoke City
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Stoke City
40%
Draw
18%
Swansea
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
40%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
49%
32%
19%
DL
25% WEIGHT
42%
40%
18%
FINAL BLEND
42%
40%
18%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.10 vs 0.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
32%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
SWANSEA FACTORS
+30%
Tied at HT with limited xG; draw most likely, but Stoke's poor recent form and Swansea's road strength keep away threat live.
+20%
Stoke home form LLDWW (weak) vs Swansea away DWWDL (stronger than home record)
+15%
Stoke in severe slump (LLLLD last 5) but Swansea hot (WDWLW) — momentum favours away side
CONTEXT
·
1–1 at HT leaves full second half open; tied matches post-75' typically trend draw
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
81%
Žan Vipotnik
AWY · F · 23g/44
2
19%
Sorba Thomas
HOM · M · 10g/44
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Stoke City
4
Draw
2
Swansea
07 Mar
2-0
13 Dec
2-1
15 Feb
3-1
05 Oct
0-0
10 Apr
3-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.