GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Stjarnan
Thu, 23 Jul · 19:00
Europa Conference League
Ilves
TOP PICK
Stjarnan
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 35
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Stjarnan
38%
Draw
24%
Ilves
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
44% 30% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 38% 24%
FINAL BLEND
38% 38% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.06 vs 0.94
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 3.75 +42.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.49 +13.2%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.45 -6.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.48 -8.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.38 -19.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.22 -24.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.42 -26.1%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 2.42 -41.9%
CONTEXT
· Only 2 minutes in; scoreline and form are evenly matched. Data too thin to project with conviction.
· Match just 2 minutes old — all pre-match factors equally weighted
· Both teams show mixed recent form (DW vs WD); no clear momentum
· Europa Conference League — limited season stats and H2H context available
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Emil Atlason
HOM · F · 0g/1
27%
2
Teemu Hytönen
AWY · F · 0g/1
27%
3
Benedikt Warén
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
4
Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
5
Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Stjarnan
1
Draw
0
Ilves
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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