GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Stade Brestois 29
Wed, 13 May · 17:00
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
TOP PICK
Stade Brestois 29
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Stade Bres...
28%
Draw
34%
Strasbourg
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 34%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 19% 38%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 28% 34%
FINAL BLEND
38% 28% 34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
56%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
61%
BTTS NO
39%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.72 +3.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 66% 1.52 +0.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.78 -0.2%
Draw
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.49 -2.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
18 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 61% 1.60 -2.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.29 -7.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.44 -10.9%
AWAY to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 34% 2.46 -16.5%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
STRASBOURG FACTORS
+30% Evenly matched midtable clash; Brest's home form (DLWWW) offers marginal edge but Strasbourg's table position and away record (DLWLW) keep this competitive.
+25% Brest home form (DLWWW) stronger than Strasbourg away (DLWLW), but both mixed
+20% Strasbourg 8th vs Brest 12th (+9 pts) suggests quality edge to visitors
+15% Both teams' recent overall form poor (Brest LLDDL, Strasbourg DLLLW) — form collapse neutralizes home advantage
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
J. Panichelli
AWY · 16g/27
46%
2
Martial Godo
AWY · 4g/11
29%
3
Martial Godo
AWY · 8g/25
25%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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