TOP PICK
Stabaek
PROJECTED: 2-1
82%
CONF 76
WIN PROBABILITY
82%
Stabaek
13%
Draw
5%
Haugesund
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
74%
17%
10%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
97%
2%
2%
DL
25% WEIGHT
82%
13%
5%
FINAL BLEND
82%
13%
5%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.31 vs 0.69
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
88%
BTTS NO
12%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Stabaek leading 2-1 with 22 minutes left; one-goal margin manageable but home team strong position.
·
One-goal lead at 68' — Stabaek favoured but not locked in
·
Both teams have scored already (BTTS likely); Haugesund still in play
·
Limited remaining time (22 min) reduces comeback probability to ~15%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Stabaek
1
Draw
2
Haugesund
03 Dec
3-0
23 Apr
3-0
31 Oct
2-1
24 May
0-0
12 Sep
2-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.