⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Sporting CP
PROJECTED: 2-0
58%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Sporting C...
28%
Draw
14%
Guimaraes
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
71%
18%
11%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
68%
19%
14%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
28%
14%
FINAL BLEND
58%
28%
14%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.18 vs 0.72
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
GUIMARAES FACTORS
+30%
Early scoreless tie; Sporting home favourite but Guimaraes' poor away form and recent collapse suggest defensive caution.
+15%
Guimaraes on terrible away run (LLWDL) and in freefall overall (LLLLW) — likely to concede
CONTEXT
·
H2H strongly favours Sporting (4-0-1 W-D-L last 5, including 5-1 and 4-4)
·
Sporting home form (WWDLL recent) mixed but H2H dominance at this venue overwhelming
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
63%
Luis Javier Suárez
HOM · F · 28g/32
2
15%
Samu
AWY · M · 7g/26
3
15%
Pedro Gonçalves
HOM · 13g/27
4
6%
Francisco Trincão
HOM · 7g/34
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
7
Sporting C...
1
Draw
2
Guimaraes
04 May
5-1
23 Dec
1-4
17 May
2-0
03 Jan
4-4
21 Apr
3-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.