⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Shimizu S-pulse
PROJECTED: 1-0
52%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
Shimizu S-...
28%
Draw
20%
V-varen Na...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
44%
31%
25%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
60%
19%
21%
DL
25% WEIGHT
52%
28%
20%
FINAL BLEND
52%
28%
20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.13 vs 0.77
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
41%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Home advantage and table position favour Shimizu, but recent form is weak for both; narrow home edge in tight match.
·
Shimizu 4 pts ahead and better GD (+0 vs -8) but both teams struggling (L and DL form)
·
Home form poor for Shimizu (L) and away form poor for Nagasaki (L) — cancels typical home boost
·
Low scoring league context and both teams' thin xG/GA data suggests under-2.5 likely
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
77%
Oh Se-Hun
HOM · F · 6g/11
2
23%
Matheus Jesus
AWY · M · 5g/12
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Shimizu S-...
4
Draw
2
V-varen Na...
05 Apr
0-3
01 Dec
4-4
11 Apr
0-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.