GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Shelbourne
Thu, 13 Aug · 18:45
Europa Conference League
Ajax
TOP PICK
Ajax
PROJECTED: 0-1
54%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
18%
Shelbourne
28%
Draw
54%
Ajax
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
24% 31% 45%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
19% 19% 63%
DL 25% WEIGHT
18% 28% 54%
FINAL BLEND
18% 28% 54%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 1
xG 0.76 vs 1.14
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-1
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 1-0
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
35%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
22%
BTTS NO
78%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 11.63 +109.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 46% 4.41 +102.8%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 6.53 +82.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 82% 1.03 -15.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.09 -21.3%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.18 -36.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 1.36 -52.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 1.88 -58.5%
AJAX FACTORS
+25% Ajax 3-1 away win 7 days ago provides strong H2H signal
CONTEXT
· Ajax clear favourite on form and H2H; Shelbourne competitive at home but Ajax's away-form dominance (WWDWW) favours visitors.
· Ajax away form elite (WWDWW) vs Shelbourne limited home sample (W only)
· Early 0-0 at 2' provides no information — form trends dominate pre-match baseline
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Mika Godts
AWY · F · 17g/34
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Shelbourne
1
Draw
0
Ajax
06 Aug 3-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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