GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Sevilla
Sat, 15 Aug · 19:30
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
TOP PICK
Sevilla
PROJECTED: 1-0
42%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Sevilla
32%
Draw
26%
Rayo Valle...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
40% 32% 28%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
48% 23% 29%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 32% 26%
FINAL BLEND
42% 32% 26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.06 vs 0.84
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.33 +11.6%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.42 +1.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.35 0.0%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 3.10 -0.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.35 -8.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.57 -9.2%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.17 -17.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.93 -26.7%
SEVILLA FACTORS
+20% Sevilla home form LWWWL is inconsistent; Rayo away form WDWWL is solid but mixed
+15% H2H last 5 shows 2 draws, slight Sevilla edge (2W vs 1W) but draws common (40% of meetings)
CONTEXT
· Early-match deadlock with slight home lean; form is mixed on both sides, H2H tilts toward draws.
· Only 1 minute played — scoreline completely undecided; home advantage baseline applies
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Chidera Ejuke
HOM · F · 10g/25
26%
2
Alemão
AWY · F · 4g/10
26%
3
Álvaro García
AWY · M · 6g/13
24%
4
Jorge de Frutos
AWY · M · 10g/36
14%
5
A. Adams
HOM · 10g/31
9%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Sevilla
5
Draw
1
Rayo Valle...
08 Mar 1-1
28 Sep 0-1
01 Mar 1-1
24 Nov 1-0
05 Feb 1-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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