⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Persebaya Surabaya
PROJECTED: 0-2
58%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
18%
Semen Pada...
24%
Draw
58%
Persebaya...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
11%
19%
70%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
18%
14%
68%
DL
25% WEIGHT
18%
24%
58%
FINAL BLEND
18%
24%
58%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 2
xG 0.74 vs 2.16
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-2
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
1-2
0.0%
4
0-3
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
35%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
SEMEN PADANG FACTORS
+30%
Persebaya overwhelming favourites: Semen Padang winless in 5, 17th place with -33 GD; Persebaya 6th on 52 pts, strong away form (DWWWD).
+25%
Semen Padang: LLLLL overall, 20 pts (last), -33 goal difference, home form LLLLW
CONTEXT
·
Persebaya: 6th place (52 pts), DWWWL form, strong away record (DWWWD) vs weak home defence
·
32-point gap + GF/GA (22 vs 49 scored; 55 vs 35 conceded) = massive quality mismatch
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.