GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Seattle Sounders
Thu, 14 May · 01:30
Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
TOP PICK
Seattle Sounders
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Seattle So...
28%
Draw
30%
San Jose E...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
37% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
48% 19% 33%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 28% 30%
FINAL BLEND
42% 28% 30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.05 vs 0.95
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
61%
BTTS NO
39%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.71 +3.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.76 +2.3%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 3.37 +1.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 61% 1.53 -6.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.30 -8.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.25 -10.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.61 -13.3%
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 1.99 -16.5%
CONTEXT
· San Jose's league-leading position and superior goal differential clash with Seattle's home advantage; expect tight, competitive match.
· San Jose leads table with 29 pts, +19 GD vs Seattle's 4th place, +8 GD — significant quality edge away
· Seattle strong at home (DWWWW) but San Jose's road record solid (DWWWL) — home advantage partly offset
· Identical recent form (DDWWW) and bookmaker odds lean home (implied 47.6%) — AI downgrades due to away team's table dominance
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Preston Judd
AWY · 8g/12
60%
2
Ousseni Bouda
AWY · 5g/11
41%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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