GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
San Marcial
Sun, 26 Apr · 15:30
Tercera División RFEF -...
Agoncillo
TOP PICK
San Marcial
PROJECTED: 2-1
72%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
72%
San Marcia...
18%
Draw
10%
Agoncillo
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
71% 18% 11%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
84% 7% 8%
DL 25% WEIGHT
72% 18% 10%
FINAL BLEND
72% 18% 10%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.25 vs 0.75
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 3-0
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
65%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
92%
BTTS NO
8%
CONTEXT
· San Marcial leading 2-1 at HT with 45 minutes left; home advantage and current lead favour final victory.
· San Marcial up 2-1 at halftime with 45 min remaining — strong position
· Both teams scoring already (BTTS likely given attacking play)
· Thin data on form/season stats, but HT scoreline dominates remaining prediction
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
San Marcia...
0
Draw
1
Agoncillo
21 Dec 3-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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