GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Saint Etienne
Fri, 15 May · 18:30
Ligue 1
Rodez
TOP PICK
Saint Etienne
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 28
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Saint Etie...
28%
Draw
24%
Rodez
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
42% 31% 27%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 19% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 28% 24%
FINAL BLEND
48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 4.26 +19.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.19 +14.0%
AWAY to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 4.46 +7.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.20 -9.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.21 -13.2%
HOME to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.66 -20.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 1.46 -38.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.48 -43.9%
CONTEXT
· Severe data gaps (no season stats, no H2H history, minimal recent form) make this a weak heuristic; treat with caution.
· Home advantage baseline only; Saint Etienne recent form mixed (DWW) vs Rodez limited sample
· No season statistics, league position, or xG data available to assess quality gap
· H2H is the current match itself — no historical context to inform prediction
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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