GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Ratchaburi
Sun, 03 May · 11:30
Thai Premier League
Rayong FC
TOP PICK
Ratchaburi
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
CONF 54
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Ratchaburi
26%
Draw
16%
Rayong FC
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
68% 19% 13%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
68% 16% 16%
DL 25% WEIGHT
58% 26% 16%
FINAL BLEND
58% 26% 16%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.17 vs 0.83
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
RATCHABURI FACTORS
+30% Ratchaburi slight home favourite on league position and goal differential, but poor home form limits edge.
+25% Ratchaburi 3rd (+19 GD) vs Rayong 7th (0 GD) — significant quality gap
+20% Ratchaburi home form very weak (LWLLD) — only 1W in last 5 at Dragon Solar Park
CONTEXT
· Rayong road form dire (LDLLL) — 0W in last 5 away; suggests away vulnerability
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Deni Junior
HOM · 10g/24
47%
2
Stênio Junior
AWY · 8g/25
36%
3
Pedro Dominguez Placeres
HOM · 4g/26
17%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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