⚡ AI
2-1 · QPR 78%
· Over 2.5 72%
72
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
22
SHOTS
9
12
ON TARGET
2
55
POSSESSION %
45
8
CORNERS
5
9
FOULS
7
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
2.16
XG
0.73
307
PASSES
257
⚡ KEY EVENTS
13'
⚽
Harvey Vale
Normal Goal
25'
⚽
Oscar Fraulo
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Amadou Salif Mbengue
Substitution
54'
🟨
Sammie Szmodics
Yellow Card
55'
⚽
Richard Kone
Normal Goal
61'
🔄
Dion Sanderson
Substitution
62'
🔄
Max Johnston
Substitution
62'
🔄
Daniel Bennie
Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Harvey Vale
9.2
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
QPR
9.2
Harvey Vale
7.9
Daniel Bennie
7.3
Jonathan Varane
Derby
Jacob Widell Zetterström
8.3
Sondre Langås
8.0
Oscar Fraulo
7.7
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
7
Hull City
45
70
Hull City
45
70
8
Derby
45
69
Derby
45
69
9
Norwich
45
65
Norwich
45
65
13
Bristol City
45
59
Bristol City
45
59
14
QPR
45
58
QPR
45
58
15
Sheffield Utd
45
57
Sheffield Utd
45
57
13'
⚽
Harvey Vale
Normal Goal
25'
⚽
Oscar Fraulo
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Amadou Salif Mbengue
Substitution 1
54'
🟨
Sammie Szmodics
Yellow Card
55'
⚽
Richard Kone
Normal Goal
61'
🔄
Dion Sanderson
Substitution 1
62'
🔄
Max Johnston
Substitution 2
62'
🔄
Daniel Bennie
Substitution 2
62'
🔄
Kieran Morgan
Substitution 3
63'
🔄
Oscar Fraulo
Substitution 3
63'
🟨
Sondre Langås
Yellow Card
68'
🔄
Richard Kone
Substitution 4
70'
🟨
Rumarn Burrell
Yellow Card
75'
🔄
Lewis Travis
Substitution 4
76'
⚽
Sondre Langås
Normal Goal
79'
🔄
Paul Smyth
Substitution 5
81'
🟨
Ben Brereton Díaz
Yellow Card
88'
⚽
Jaydon Banel
Normal Goal
90'+1
🔄
Sammie Szmodics
Substitution 5
22
SHOTS
9
12
ON TARGET
2
55
POSSESSION %
45
2.16
XG
0.73
8
CORNERS
5
9
FOULS
7
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
22
TOTAL SHOTS
9
12
ON TARGET
2
3
OFF TARGET
4
7
BLOCKED
3
12
INSIDE BOX
8
10
OUTSIDE BOX
1
2.16
XG
0.73
307
TOTAL PASSES
257
245
ACCURATE
186
80
ACCURACY %
72
55
POSSESSION %
45
8
CORNERS
5
2
OFFSIDES
0
0
GK SAVES
10
9
FOULS
7
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
QPR
13 sh
Paul Smyth
5/5
Harvey Val...
3/4
Richard Ko...
3/3
Jonathan V...
1/1
Derby
3 sh
Sondre Lan...
1/2
Oscar Frau...
1/1
📈 xG RACE
2.16 – 0.73
QPR
Derby
QPR
4-4-2
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
5
QPR
1
D Draws
4
Derby
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
QPR
PROJECTED: 2-1
78%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
QPR
16%
Draw
6%
Derby
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | QPR | D | Derby |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| ELO | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| DL | 78% | 16% | 6% |
| FINAL | 78% | 16% | 6% |
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
88%
YES
12%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
QPR lead 2-1 at 59'; one-goal margin at midpoint favors home but Derby comeback remains plausible.
One-goal lead past halfway — stronger than near full-time but not lock-in
BTTS already achieved; likely to remain given open play so far
~31 minutes remaining allows Derby time for equalization if momentum shifts
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.29
UNDER
3.36
2.5
11 bk
OVER
1.95
UNDER
1.84
3.5
10 bk
OVER
3.32
UNDER
1.30
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.72
10 bk
NO
2.03
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.48 5bk
Away -0.5
1.40 6bk
Away -0.75
1.25 6bk
Away -1
1.13 5bk
Away -1.25
1.09 3bk
Away -1.5
1.09 5bk
🏟 STADIUM
MATRADE Loftus Road
London · 18,360 seats
REFEREE
John Busby, England
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
John Busby, En...
—
QPR MGR
Julien Stephan
head coach
DER... MGR
John Eustace
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
QPR · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Derby · 20 OUT
Matthew Clar...
· Red Card
Lars-Jørgen...
· Muscle Injur...
Callum Elder
· Toe Injury
Kane Wilson
· Knee Surgery
+ 16 more
KICK-OFFSat, 25 Apr · 14:00
RoundRegular Season - 45
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY18,360
🏟
MATRADE Loftus Road
London · 18,360