⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
32%
Puebla
38%
Draw
30%
Guadalajar...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
35%
31%
34%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
36%
30%
34%
DL
25% WEIGHT
32%
38%
30%
FINAL BLEND
32%
38%
30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.01 vs 0.99
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
PUEBLA FACTORS
+30%
Early in first half, scoreless so far; Chivas' recent road weakness and Puebla home struggles suggest a draw is likeliest outcome.
+25%
Both teams' recent form poor (Puebla LWLLL, Chivas WLLDW) — quality is low
+20%
H2H strongly favours Chivas (3W in last 4, including 5-0 away win Apr 2026), but Puebla won 1-0 at home Oct 2024
+15%
Puebla home form terrible (LDLLL), Chivas away form abysmal (DLDLL) — mutual weakness cancels home edge
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
84%
Armando González
AWY · F · 24g/34
2
16%
Emiliano Gómez
HOM · M · 8g/33
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Puebla
1
Draw
6
Guadalajar...
19 Apr
5-0
27 Sep
0-2
16 Apr
1-0
26 Oct
1-0
07 Apr
3-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.