⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
PSIM Yogyakarta
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
PSIM Yogya...
28%
Draw
24%
Persita
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
42%
31%
27%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
FINAL BLEND
48%
28%
24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
52%
BTTS NO
48%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
24 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
24 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
24 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
PERSITA FACTORS
+30%
Tight match with slight home edge; PSIM's home record better than away form suggests, but Persita's superior defensive record (GA 28 vs 38) caps scoring.
+25%
PSIM home form (DW) slightly better than overall; Persita's strong away discipline (LDDLD with only 28 GA)
+20%
League position favours Persita (9th, 41 pts vs 10th, 39 pts) despite home advantage
CONTEXT
·
Both teams' recent form volatile (3-match samples); SportMonks model (53% home, 25% draw) aligns with modest home edge
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.