GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Persepam Madura Utd
Sat, 25 Apr · 08:30
Liga 1
Dewa United
TOP PICK
Dewa United
PROJECTED: 1-1
37%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
35%
Persepam M...
28%
Draw
37%
Dewa Unite...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
34% 31% 35%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
39% 19% 42%
DL 25% WEIGHT
35% 28% 37%
FINAL BLEND
35% 28% 37%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 0.99 vs 1.01
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-1
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 1-0
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
62%
BTTS NO
38%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 2.96 +3.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 63% 1.62 +2.1%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.44 -3.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.53 -5.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.24 -10.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.65 -10.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 65% 1.33 -13.8%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 37% 2.12 -21.5%
CONTEXT
· Away team quality edge dominates; home's poor home form (LLWLL) and weak goal difference make this competitive, not homogeneous.
· Dewa 18-pt league lead + superior GD (+2 vs −19) — quality gap clear
· Persepam's awful home form (LLWLL) vs Dewa's strong away form (WLLWW)
· H2H split: 2 wins each in recent; last meeting (1-2 Dewa away) suggests visitors edging tight affairs
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Persepam M...
3
Draw
2
Dewa Unite...
16 Oct 0-2
15 Feb 3-1
21 Sep 3-3
25 Apr 2-2
22 Oct 1-4
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match