GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Palmeiras
Thu, 28 May · 22:00
Copa Libertadores
Junior
TOP PICK
Palmeiras
PROJECTED: 2-0
68%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
68%
Palmeiras
20%
Draw
12%
Junior
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
73% 17% 10%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
80% 10% 11%
DL 25% WEIGHT
68% 20% 12%
FINAL BLEND
68% 20% 12%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.22 vs 0.68
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 12% 11.37 +36.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 3.71 +18.6%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 5.42 +8.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.70 +5.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 1.04 -8.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.14 -8.9%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.25 -15.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 2.27 -36.5%
PALMEIRAS FACTORS
+15% Copa Libertadores group stage typically favors established sides; Palmeiras at Allianz Parque is a fortress
JUNIOR FACTORS
+20% Junior winless in last 4 (WLLL overall) and 0-2 on the road this campaign
CONTEXT
· Palmeiras strong home form and league position advantage; Junior's road struggles (LL) and negative GD make away win unlikely.
· Palmeiras 2nd in table, strong home form (LWWWW), +2 goal differential vs Junior -3
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
R. Sosa
HOM · 2g/4
33%
2
Jhon Arias
HOM · 3g/6
33%
3
Luis Muriel
AWY · 3g/6
33%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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