TOP PICK
Elche
PROJECTED: 1-2
40%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
32%
Oviedo
28%
Draw
40%
Elche
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
17%
21%
62%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
36%
19%
46%
DL
25% WEIGHT
32%
28%
40%
FINAL BLEND
32%
28%
40%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.97 vs 2.03
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-2
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
1-2
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
62%
BTTS NO
38%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Elche favoured despite lower league position; Oviedo's 0-5 home form and relegation battle overshadow Elche's road troubles.
·
Oviedo in freefall at home (0W in last 5): DWWLL, 20th place, -24 GD
·
Elche unbeaten overall (WWLWL) but 0-5 on road — conflicting signals
·
H2H asymmetry: Elche won 2 of last 4 (4-0, 1-0); recent form divergence favours away
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
53%
André Silva
AWY · F · 9g/26
2
47%
Federico Viñas
HOM · F · 9g/29
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Oviedo
2
Draw
4
Elche
21 Sep
1-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.