GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Orlando City SC
Wed, 13 May · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
TOP PICK
Orlando City SC
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Orlando Ci...
24%
Draw
38%
Philadelph...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 35%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 14% 43%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 24% 38%
FINAL BLEND
38% 24% 38%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.00 vs 1.00
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-0
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-0
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
64%
BTTS NO
36%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.97 +12.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.70 +5.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.66 +2.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 64% 1.56 -0.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.26 -4.4%
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.61 -13.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.36 -16.0%
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.17 -17.6%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched struggle-teams; draw most defensible, slight lean to away value given Orlando's home inconsistency.
· Both teams mid-table with weak season records (Orlando 10 pts, Philly 6 pts); no quality separation
· Orlando home form erratic (WLWLW) despite venue advantage; Philly away form also poor but slightly better (LLDLW)
· High xG/BTTS signals from SportMonks (62% Over, 64% BTTS) suggest open, low-quality match with chances
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Martín Ojeda
HOM · 7g/12
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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