GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
OH Leuven
Sat, 25 Apr · 14:00
Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi
TOP PICK
Charleroi
PROJECTED: 0-2
90%
CONF 82
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
OH Leuven
8%
Draw
90%
Charleroi
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
7% 15% 78%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
DL 25% WEIGHT
2% 8% 90%
FINAL BLEND
2% 8% 90%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 2
xG 0.55 vs 2.35
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 0-3
0.0%
4 1-2
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
15%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
5%
BTTS NO
95%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 90% 2.48 +122.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.41 +38.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.30 +19.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 15% 1.84 -72.4%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 3.29 -73.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 10% 1.51 -84.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.63 -91.8%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 2.74 -94.5%
CONTEXT
· Charleroi leading 2-0 with 12 minutes remaining; away win is near-certain barring extreme collapse.
· Two-goal lead at minute 78 — statistically >90% hold rate
· OH Leuven at home unable to score or create in 78 minutes
· Charleroi defensive control; low in-match threat from hosts
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Aurélien Scheidler
AWY · F · 8g/31
68%
2
P. Guiagon
AWY · 8g/28
32%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
OH Leuven
4
Draw
2
Charleroi
14 Mar 0-2
27 Jul 2-2
24 May 2-1
28 Mar 0-0
14 Dec 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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