⚡ AI
3-1 · New York City FC 96%
· Over 2.5 94%
87
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
10
SHOTS
9
3
ON TARGET
5
47
POSSESSION %
53
1
CORNERS
2
8
FOULS
16
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
1.31
XG
1.36
416
PASSES
464
⚡ KEY EVENTS
11'
⚽
N. Fernández Mercau
Normal Goal
21'
⚽
Joel Waterman
Normal Goal
29'
⚽
A. Ojeda
Normal Goal
41'
⚽
M. Jones
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Maren Haile-Selassie
Substitution
46'
🔄
L. Barroso
Substitution
51'
🟨
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Yellow Card
62'
🟨
N. Fernández Mercau
Yellow Card
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
N. Fernández Mercau
8.5
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
New York City FC
8.5
N. Fernández Mercau
8.5
A. Ojeda
7.7
A. Perea
Chicago Fire
Philip Zinckernagel
7.5
Joel Waterman
7.5
Jonathan Dean
7.0
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
3
Los Angeles FC
22
35
Los Angeles FC
22
35
3
Chicago Fire
20
36
Chicago Fire
20
36
4
New England Revolution
21
34
New England Revolution
21
34
7
Colorado Rapids
21
28
Colorado Rapids
21
28
7
New York City FC
21
27
New York City FC
21
27
8
New York Red Bulls
21
26
New York Red Bulls
21
26
11'
⚽
N. Fernández Mercau
Normal Goal
21'
⚽
Joel Waterman
Normal Goal
29'
⚽
A. Ojeda
Normal Goal
41'
⚽
M. Jones
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Maren Haile-Selassie
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
L. Barroso
Substitution 2
51'
🟨
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Yellow Card
62'
🟨
N. Fernández Mercau
Yellow Card
63'
🔄
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Substitution 3
69'
🔄
M. Jones
Substitution 1
71'
🔄
V. Radojevic
Substitution 4
71'
🔄
R. Lod
Substitution 5
77'
🟨
Joel Waterman
Yellow Card
80'
🟨
P. Dithejane
Yellow Card
85'
🔄
Talles Magno
Substitution 2
85'
🔄
J. Shore
Substitution 3
90'+2
🔄
A. Ojeda
Substitution 4
10
SHOTS
9
3
ON TARGET
5
47
POSSESSION %
53
1.31
XG
1.36
1
CORNERS
2
8
FOULS
16
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
10
TOTAL SHOTS
9
3
ON TARGET
5
4
OFF TARGET
2
3
BLOCKED
2
6
INSIDE BOX
6
4
OUTSIDE BOX
3
1.31
XG
1.36
416
TOTAL PASSES
464
337
ACCURATE
376
81
ACCURACY %
81
47
POSSESSION %
53
1
CORNERS
2
5
OFFSIDES
0
4
GK SAVES
0
8
FOULS
16
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
New York C...
3 sh
N. Fernánd...
1/1
A. Ojeda
1/1
M. Jones
1/1
Chicago Fi...
4 sh
A. Saletro...
1/2
Joel Water...
1/1
Mauricio P...
1/1
📈 xG RACE
1.31 – 1.36
New York Cit...
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
4-1-4-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
6
New York Cit...
3
D Draws
1
Chicago Fire
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
New York City FC
PROJECTED: 3-1
96%
CONF 87
WIN PROBABILITY
96%
New York C...
3%
Draw
1%
Chicago Fi...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | New Yo... | D | Chicag... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| ELO | 98% | 1% | 1% |
| DL | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| FINAL | 96% | 3% | 1% |
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
94%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
94%
YES
6%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
NYCFC hold 2-goal lead with 2 minutes remaining; win is near-certain.
2-goal lead (3-1) at 88' — statistically >96% win probability with only 2 min left
Chicago yellow cards (77', 80') indicate disciplinary pressure and fatigue late
NYCFC defensive substitution (85') confirms management of lead, not attacking
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
9 bk
OVER
1.18
UNDER
4.78
2.5
10 bk
OVER
1.60
UNDER
2.31
3.5
9 bk
OVER
2.46
UNDER
1.52
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.49
9 bk
NO
2.47
9 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.61 6bk
Away -0.5
1.48 7bk
Away -0.75
1.33 5bk
Away -1
1.21 4bk
Away -1.25
1.19 3bk
Away -1.5
1.14 5bk
🏟 STADIUM
Yankee Stadium
Bronx
REFEREE
J. Montero
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Montero
—
NEW... MGR
Pascal Jansen
head coach
CHI... MGR
Mario Barcena
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
New York C... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Chicago Fi... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFSat, 25 Jul · 23:30
RoundRegular Season - 17
Season2026
🏟
Yankee Stadium
Bronx