⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Nagoya Grampus
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Nagoya Gra...
32%
Draw
20%
Shimizu S-...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
43%
31%
26%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
56%
23%
21%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
32%
20%
FINAL BLEND
48%
32%
20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.11 vs 0.79
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
35%
BTTS NO
65%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Early-match 0–0 with mixed form on both sides; Nagoya slight home edge but Shimizu road resilience keeps it competitive.
·
Only 2 minutes played — scoreline unchanged but momentum unknown; home advantage baseline applies
·
Nagoya home form (DWWDD) inconsistent; Shimizu away form (LLWWD) shows recent solidity but embedded losses
·
H2H heavily favours Nagoya (3 wins in last 5, including 3–0 and 2–0); this is the primary edge
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
39%
Yuya Yamagishi
HOM · F · 10g/19
2
34%
Yudai Kimura
HOM · F · 9g/20
3
27%
Oh Se-Hun
AWY · F · 7g/19
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Nagoya Gra...
4
Draw
1
Shimizu S-...
25 Apr
0-2
08 Feb
1-0
21 Jun
1-1
03 May
0-3
10 Jul
0-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.