GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Mornar
Thu, 16 Jul · 18:45
Europa Conference League
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
TOP PICK
Mornar
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 28
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Mornar
35%
Draw
27%
Atlètic Cl...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
37% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 27% 30%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 35% 27%
FINAL BLEND
38% 35% 27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.04 vs 0.96
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
52%
BTTS NO
48%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 27% 5.99 +61.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 2.35 +45.6%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 3.77 +32.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.21 +14.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.10 +0.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 73% 1.10 -19.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 65% 1.21 -21.1%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.52 -42.4%
MORNAR FACTORS
+20% Escaldes won 2-1 vs Mornar 7 days ago (away, now neutral/away again)
CONTEXT
· Only 2 minutes in with no data; treat as weak heuristic. Escaldes won 2-1 in H2H last week.
· Match at minute 2 — scoreline and momentum entirely fluid; lean on H2H
· No season stats, form splits, or lineups available — confidence severely limited
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Hamza Ryahi
AWY · M · 0g/1
20%
2
Emanoel
AWY · M · 0g/1
20%
3
Gemelson Vieira
AWY · M · 0g/1
20%
4
David Valero Climent
AWY · M · 0g/1
20%
5
Juan Barragan
AWY · M · 0g/1
20%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Mornar
0
Draw
1
Atlètic Cl...
09 Jul 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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