⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Moreirense
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Moreirense
28%
Draw
24%
Estrela
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
42%
31%
27%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
FINAL BLEND
48%
28%
24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
32%
BTTS NO
68%
MOREIRENSE FACTORS
+25%
Moreirense home form WLLDL (mixed, 2W-2L-1D) lacks consistency despite home venue
ESTRELA FACTORS
+20%
Estrela away form LLLDL (very weak—just 1 draw in 5 road games) supports home edge
CONTEXT
·
Moreirense slight home favourite but poor recent form and Estrela's away defensive record keep this competitive; draw is live.
·
Both teams identical GF (34) but Moreirense better GD (−11 vs −17); Estrela bottom-half form (LLLLW) suggests limited threat
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Guilherme Schettine
HOM · 9g/15
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.