β‘ AI
2-2 Β· Draw 44%
Β· Over 2.5 92%
72
π FULL-TIME STATS
11
SHOTS
13
4
ON TARGET
5
60
POSSESSION %
40
6
CORNERS
10
6
FOULS
7
0
YELLOW CARDS
1
531
PASSES
351
β‘ KEY EVENTS
17'
β½
Hokuto Shimoda
Normal Goal
48'
β½
Ibrahim DreΕ‘eviΔ
Normal Goal
63'
π
Yuto Yamashita
Substitution
67'
β½
Henry Heroki Mochizuki
Own Goal
68'
π
Matheus Leiria
Substitution
68'
π
Ryo Nemoto
Substitution
76'
π
Keiya Sento
Substitution
76'
π
Sang-Ho Na
Substitution
β MAN OF THE MATCH
Hokuto Shimoda
9.7
RATING
π PLAYER RATINGS Β· TOP 5 EACH
Mito Hollyhock
8.3
Koki Ando
7.9
Matheus Leiria
7.3
Koshi Osaki
Machida Zelvia
Hokuto Shimoda
9.7
Kosei Tani
8.7
Shota Fujio
7.2
π LEAGUE CONTEXT
3
Gamba Osaka
14
22
Gamba Osaka
14
22
3
Machida Zelvia
12
24
Machida Zelvia
12
24
6
Cerezo Osaka
13
19
Cerezo Osaka
13
19
6
Mito Hollyhock
13
16
Mito Hollyhock
13
16
π¬ COMMENTARY
120'
GOAL Β· Missed Penalty
Penalty Shootout
120'
GOAL Β· Penalty
Penalty Shootout
120'
GOAL Β· Missed Penalty
Penalty Shootout
120'
GOAL Β· Penalty
Penalty Shootout
120'
GOAL Β· Penalty
Penalty Shootout
120'
GOAL Β· Penalty
Penalty Shootout
120'
GOAL Β· Penalty
Penalty Shootout
120'
GOAL Β· Penalty
Penalty Shootout
120'
GOAL Β· Penalty
Penalty Shootout
17'
β½
Hokuto Shimoda
Normal Goal
48'
β½
Ibrahim DreΕ‘eviΔ
Normal Goal
63'
π
Yuto Yamashita
Substitution 1
67'
β½
Henry Heroki Mochizuki
Own Goal
68'
π
Matheus Leiria
Substitution 2
68'
π
Ryo Nemoto
Substitution 3
76'
π
Keiya Sento
Substitution 1
76'
π
Sang-Ho Na
Substitution 2
77'
π
Shota Fujio
Substitution 3
78'
π
Sho Omori
Substitution 4
79'
π
Takahiro Iida
Substitution 5
87'
π
Asahi Masuyama
Substitution 4
88'
π¨
Kanji Kuwayama
Yellow Card
90'
β½
Koki Ando
Normal Goal
90'+2
π
Futa Tokumura
Substitution 5
90'+3
πΊ
Kanji Kuwayama
Goal Disallowed - handball
120'+1
β½
Koshi Osaki
Penalty
120'+1
β½
Hokuto Shimoda
Penalty
120'+2
β½
Tada Keisuke
Penalty
120'+2
β½
Ibrahim DreΕ‘eviΔ
Penalty
120'+3
β½
Sho Omori
Penalty
120'+3
β½
Erik
Penalty
120'+4
β½
Kenta Itakura
Missed Penalty
120'+4
β½
Kosei Tani
Penalty
120'+5
β½
Patryck Ferreira
Missed Penalty
11
SHOTS
13
4
ON TARGET
5
60
POSSESSION %
40
0
XG
0
6
CORNERS
10
6
FOULS
7
0
YELLOW CARDS
1
11
TOTAL SHOTS
13
4
ON TARGET
5
4
OFF TARGET
5
3
BLOCKED
3
6
INSIDE BOX
8
5
OUTSIDE BOX
5
0
XG
0
531
TOTAL PASSES
351
444
ACCURATE
264
84
ACCURACY %
75
60
POSSESSION %
40
6
CORNERS
10
0
OFFSIDES
0
3
GK SAVES
4
6
FOULS
7
0
YELLOW CARDS
1
0
RED CARDS
0
π― SHOT BREAKDOWN
Mito Holly...
4 sh
Matheus Le...
2/2
Koki Ando
1/1
Ryo Nemoto
0/1
Machida Ze...
3 sh
Hokuto Shi...
1/1
Shota Fuji...
0/1
Ibrahim Dr...
1/1
Mito Hollyhock
3-4-2-1
HEAD TO HEAD Β· ALL-TIME Β· 10 Recent meetings
3
Mito Hollyho...
3
D Draws
4
Machida Zelv...
RECENT MEETINGS
β‘ AI TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 2-2
44%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Mito Holly...
44%
Draw
28%
Machida Ze...
π€ AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Mito H... | D | Machid... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 40% | 21% | 40% |
| ELO | 32% | 37% | 32% |
| DL | 28% | 44% | 28% |
| FINAL | 28% | 44% | 28% |
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 2
π OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
β
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
β
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
98%
YES
2%
NO
π‘ KEY FACTORS
Tied 2-2 at 90'+; both teams attacking, Machida just had goal disallowed. Extra time very likely.
Match at 90'+: 2-2 scoreline with both teams still creating (Machida handball goal disallowed moments ago)
H2H 2-2 draw in Feb 2026 signals defensive vulnerabilities and high-scoring tendency
Mito home record weak (WD, +9 GD vs -7 GD season) vs Zelvia away poor (L) but Zelvia much stronger overall (3rd place, +1 GD vs Mito's -7)
OVER / UNDER Β· GOALS
1.5
8 bk
OVER
1.40
UNDER
2.75
2.5
9 bk
OVER
2.28
UNDER
1.60
3.5
8 bk
OVER
4.28
UNDER
1.19
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.95
8 bk
NO
1.76
8 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.39 6bk
Away -0.5
1.32 2bk
Away -0.75
1.18 4bk
Away -1
1.06 3bk
Away -1.25
1.03 2bk
Away -1.5
1.02 2bk
π STADIUM
K's Denki Stadium Mito
Mito
REFEREE
Ming Fu, China
β MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ming Fu, China
β
MIT... MGR
Daisuke Kimori
head coach
MAC... MGR
Go Kuroda
head coach
π₯ UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Mito Holly... Β· 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Machida Ze... Β· 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFWed, 29 Apr Β· 07:00
RoundRegular Season - 13
Season2026
π
K's Denki Stadium Mito
Mito