GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Mirassol
Wed, 29 Apr · 22:00
Copa Libertadores
Always Ready
TOP PICK
Mirassol
PROJECTED: 2-1
68%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
68%
Mirassol
18%
Draw
14%
Always Rea...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
70% 18% 12%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
80% 7% 13%
DL 25% WEIGHT
68% 18% 14%
FINAL BLEND
68% 18% 14%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.22 vs 0.78
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 3-0
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
52%
BTTS NO
48%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
30 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 14% 10.85 +51.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 3.78 +20.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.08 +8.0%
Draw
30 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 5.78 +4.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 82% 1.12 -8.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.56 -9.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 86% 1.04 -10.9%
HOME to Win
30 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.24 -16.0%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
MIRASSOL FACTORS
+25% Mirassol leads on pts (3 vs 0) and table position (3 vs 4) in tiny sample
CONTEXT
· Thin early-season data limits confidence; lean toward home edge in Copa Libertadores but treat as weak signal.
· Always Ready's away form negative (1 loss) vs Mirassol home unknown but favored by venue
· Very limited data (1-2 games each, no xG, no detailed stats) — probabilities rest on minimal evidence
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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